{"id":268260,"date":"2024-07-01T21:10:28","date_gmt":"2024-07-02T00:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/diariotextual.com\/inicio\/?p=268260"},"modified":"2024-07-02T09:06:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T12:06:02","slug":"la-fundacion-pensar-del-pro-critico-la-politica-economica-de-milei","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diariotextual.com\/inicio\/index.php\/2024\/07\/01\/la-fundacion-pensar-del-pro-critico-la-politica-economica-de-milei\/","title":{"rendered":"La Fundaci\u00f3n Pensar del PRO critic\u00f3 la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Milei"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Con encuestas y an\u00e1lisis, la Fundaci\u00f3n Pensar, presidida por la diputada Mar\u00eda Eugenia Vidal (PRO)<\/strong>, emiti\u00f3 un informe de an\u00e1lisis cr\u00edtico de los primeros seis meses de gesti\u00f3n del Gobierno de Javier Milei<\/strong> y plante\u00f3: \u201cHay m\u00e1s interrogantes que certezas<\/strong>\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El documento de 39 p\u00e1ginas tambi\u00e9n lleva la firma del expresidente Mauricio Macri.<\/strong> El mismo se estructura en cuatro cap\u00edtulos que analizan aspectos econ\u00f3micos, pol\u00edticos y sociales del primer semestre de Milei.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSe realiza una evaluaci\u00f3n de los avances de la gesti\u00f3n del macroecon\u00f3mico presidente Milei en el ordenamiento macro y la reducci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong>, as\u00ed como de los efectos negativos de ese proceso: la ca\u00edda de la actividad, el empleo y los ingresos<\/strong>\u201d, detall\u00f3 el art\u00edculo en la introducci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adem\u00e1s, el informe habla de \u201cla gran apuesta\u201d del Gobierno de Milei y siembra el interrogante respecto a si el plan libertario \u201ctendr\u00e1 \u00e9xito o no\u201d. Tambi\u00e9n plantea como inc\u00f3gnita<\/strong>: \u201c\u00bfLa sociedad seguir\u00e1 apoyando? Hasta este punto, la esperanza sigue siendo mayoritaria. \u00bfEs viable el proceso de cambio profundo iniciado teniendo en cuenta el grado de conflictividad social y la debilidad legislativa del gobierno?\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En primer aspecto hace un repaso de la \u201cherencia\u201d que recibi\u00f3 el presidente Milei por parte del Gobierno de Alberto Fern\u00e1ndez, Cristina Fern\u00e1ndez de Kirchner y Sergio Massa. Enumera ocho indicadores macroecon\u00f3micos negativos de la administraci\u00f3n kirchnerista, centrados en el alto n\u00famero de pobreza, la inflaci\u00f3n acumulada, la ca\u00edda en las jubilaciones, la situaci\u00f3n fr\u00e1gil de las reservas del Banco Central y el d\u00e9ficit fiscal y comercial.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El documento destac\u00f3 que desde el Gobierno se \u201cconsolida\u201d el d\u00e9ficit fiscal cero, con los \u201cmejores\u201d n\u00fameros desde 2008, as\u00ed como tambi\u00e9n pondera el avance en la baja de la inflaci\u00f3n y resalta que se trata del \u201cmenor registro en 28 meses\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDe los \u00faltimos 124 a\u00f1os, -agreg\u00f3- Argentina tuvo d\u00e9ficit financiero durante 113 a\u00f1os\u201d, y compar\u00f3 que 2023 cerr\u00f3 con un d\u00e9ficit entre los m\u00e1s altos en 30 a\u00f1os: \u201cArgentina tuvo una inflaci\u00f3n mayor al 5% durante 81 a\u00f1os\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Y remarc\u00f3: \u201cEl riesgo pa\u00eds alcanz\u00f3 un piso de 1.148 puntos, el valor m\u00e1s bajo desde 2020, aunque a\u00fan por encima del piso de 342 puntos en 2017. Las reservas alcanzaron los USD 30.000 millones por primera vez en 12 meses\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, sostienen que la actividad y el empleo siguen cayendo y a\u00fan no logran recuperarse. \u201cLos ingresos no logran ganarle a la inflaci\u00f3n acumulada y arrastra al consumo\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

En esa l\u00ednea, explic\u00f3 que Argentina entr\u00f3 en recesi\u00f3n t\u00e9cnica en el 1er trimestre y la actividad registr\u00f3 su mayor ca\u00edda desde 2020. \u201cLos mayores detractores del indicador son la ca\u00edda trimestral en el producto, el aumento de la desocupaci\u00f3n y la pobreza. Contribuyen de manera negativa la elevada brecha cambiaria, la ca\u00edda en el consumo y el estancamiento en los resultados de calidad educativa\u201d, advirti\u00f3 el informe de la Fundaci\u00f3n Pensar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

El estudio plante\u00f3: \u201cSi bien los salarios empezaron a acercarse a la inflaci\u00f3n, a\u00fan acumulan p\u00e9rdidas respecto al inicio de la gesti\u00f3n\u201d, y precisan que un 51% no llega a fin de mes. Respecto de la situaci\u00f3n laboral, alert\u00f3: \u201cSe alcanzaron 7 meses en baja, la mayor desde 2002. Es el nivel de desempleo m\u00e1s alto desde 2021. En 2024 ya se perdieron 600.519 empleos (43.693 privados, 70.509 p\u00fablicos)\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cLa demanda laboral es la m\u00e1s baja en 10 a\u00f1os Argentina registra la peor expectativa en el mundo de generaci\u00f3n de trabajo\u201d, asegur\u00f3 el informe e indic\u00f3 que un 41% de la poblaci\u00f3n \u201ctiene miedo de perder el empleo\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Adem\u00e1s, cuestion\u00f3 la capacidad pol\u00edtica del Gobierno de Milei para construir consensos y lograr imponer su agenda en el Congreso, por lo que sostiene que \u201ces el peor arranque en paros generales de la democracia\u201d, y tambi\u00e9n \u201cel peor arranque legislativo de la democracia\u201d, en alusi\u00f3n a las negociaciones que hubo para aprobar la Ley Bases y el paquete fiscal, siendo las primeras dos leyes aprobadas en seis meses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Al respecto, destac\u00f3 que hubo 162 reuniones de comisi\u00f3n en Diputados (contra 133 en todo 2023) y 43 en el Senado (contra 48 en todo el 202). Y que un 13% de los art\u00edculos del DNU 73\/24 fueron suspendidos por la Justicia.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Con encuestas y an\u00e1lisis, la Fundaci\u00f3n Pensar, presidida por la diputada Mar\u00eda Eugenia Vidal (PRO), emiti\u00f3 un informe de an\u00e1lisis cr\u00edtico de los primeros seis meses de gesti\u00f3n del Gobierno…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":268261,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-268260","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-que-pasa","category-politica"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLa Fundaci\u00f3n Pensar del PRO critic\u00f3 la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica de Milei - Diario Textual<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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